Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Will Republicans Win Both House Special Elections Tonight?

Well, I think that it looks more and more likely that the Republicans are going to have a smashing election night, keeping one seat in Nevada and winning one in New York City.
The race for the New York state ninth congressional district is stunning no matter the way it turns out. Because it is a district that is overwhelmingly Jewish and Democrat, the fact that a Roman Catholic Republican in on the precipice of pulling such an upset is a serious sign that the Democrats in general, and the Dear Leader, President Obama, in particular, are in huge trouble.
Sorry Dems, this will not be spinable if Bob Turner pulls off the win over David Weprin.
After all, Mr. Weprin is a seasoned pol that has served on the New York City city council and currently a member of the New York state assembly. And before you Dems buy the "this was not a good candidate line", forget it. Mr. Weprin won in 2010 with 67% of the vote. A little better than the man he hopes to succeed, the disgrace Anthony Weiner.
If this solid Democrat district is ready to go right, what about the Nevada race to replace former congressman now Sen. Dean Heller?
This is Nevada's most solid Republican district and Mark Amodei has about 58% of the vote with 35% of the vote counted. The Democrat, Kate Marshall, is lagging behind with about 37% of the vote.
So, a big hold and a pickup can only embolden the Republicans. And it should.
Because it is a total repudiation of the Dear Leader, President Obama and his policies.
In the New York state election, it may be a huge result of what is seen as a very anti-Israel bias in this administration. And it is. Sure, they will not jump the shark and support in the United Nations a vote to recognize a Palestinian state. But it is an overall feeling that the Dear Leader, President Obama, is much more sympathetic to Palestinians than Israel. Again, that would be correct.
And that portends further problems for the Democrat party in general. Because they depend on a lot of their money from Jews, if they sense that the Dear Leader, President Obama, is in serious trouble, why put their money on a sinking ship? Many Jewish Democrats can sit the presidential race out. Or do what former New York City mayor Ed Koch did. Endorse the Republican in the congressional special election.
Now the key for the Republicans is not just to celebrate but use these results to seriously cultivate Jewish voters. Even if only 30% of Jewish voters vote Republican next year, that is all she wrote for the Democrats and the Dear Leader, President Obama.
But tonight, it looks like it is time to celebrate a couple of big wins!

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