I know, the Dear Leader, President Obama, cancelled his Asia trip once again. The vaunted CBO "score" has come out. And there are still a lot of Democrats that are still wondering what to do on the so-called health care "reform" scam.
In which I will continue to predict that if the abomination does come to a vote on the floor of the House, it will lose. I will continue to stand by my count of 210-220 being the vote tally.
There is no good way out on this issue.
If wavering Democrat House members turn tail under pressure from the Dear Leader, President Obama, Jackass Nancy Pelosi and her Goon Squad, they might as well kiss their congressional careers over. If these wavering Democrats vote with the people, who are against this abomination and actually want congress to start over, they may have a chance to retain their seats in the November election.
Those left-wing Democrats that voted no the first time around are coming home. They do not want to be the blame for the Dear Leader, President Obama's singular issue going down in flames. And because they figure this is the best they can do for now, they will take it.
Centrist Democrats from Republican leaning districts have a high-wire act that they may not be able to walk across. Many of these centrist Democrats have serious concerns about the cost and benefit factors. Some are the pro-life Democrats that worry this abomination will provide federal funding of abortion.
So, if one figures there are about 175 true-believer, left-wing Democrats in the caucus, that leaves about 82 centrists. And they are rather divided. So, say about 40 cave and vote for the abomination, that leaves 42 to vote against the abomination. That would leave the Democrats one vote away from abomination.
My guess is that there are a few true-believers that think the abomination does not go far enough. They do not see a better chance than now to get there. They may break and vote against the abomination. I would put that number at roughly five to seven. And maybe the cave among the centrists is more like 30 to 35. That would mean as many as 45 to 50 will vote against the abomination. And there is not one Republican lifting a finger to get the Democrats out of the mess of their own making.
That is why I believe that there is no more than 210 Democrats willing to walk the plank for the Dear Leader, President Obama or Jackass Nancy.
Oh, there is one other thing that I left out.
The one thing that transcends what I wrote above is the E word. Or better yet, the R word. No, not reconciliation. R E E L E C T I O N.
That may be what tips the balance away from the Democrat party leadership. From the Dear Leader, President Obama all the way down.
Remember, the Dear Leader, President Obama, will be gone in 2016. More than likely, Jackass Nancy will be long gone by then as well. So will much of the current Democrat congressional leadership.
But, so many of those elected in 2006 and 2008 may want to stick around for a while. And that selfishness may transcend a phone call from the Dear Leader, President Obama. Or pressure from Jackass Nancy and her Goon Squad.
We have to keep the pressure on. Call your congressman, no matter what they publicly say they will vote. E-mail. Send even snail mail. Anything that is legal and may get their attention.
Come Monday, the number 210 will hopefully be the best sounding number. And the final nail in the so-called health care "reform" scam/abomination.