Yea, yea, dismiss this poll at your own peril. Sure, it is commissioned by The Daily Kos people, but the fact is that Dede Scozzafava is going downhill and Doug Hoffman is surging.
The poll numbers are as follows:
Bill Owen (D) 33%
Doug Hoffman (C) 32%
Dede Scozzafava (R) 21%
Mr. Hoffman has gained nine points from the previous poll. Mr. Owens has gone down two and Mrs. Scozzafava has dropped nine.
Clearly local conservative Republican voters are turning to Mr. Hoffman. Remember, this is one of the rare conservative districts in New York state. The former congressman, John McHugh, has been the representative for 16 years and amassed a 73% American Conservative Union rating.
Mr. Owen may have hit his ceiling of natural, Democrat support. Mrs. Scozzafava is clearly losing Republicans. Conservatives, idependents and Republicans are flocking to Mr. Hoffman.
The lesson here is simple.
Do not let the New York state Republican party steamroll a loser candidate on the electorate. They need some serious reform in how a candidate is chosen when there is a special election. A two-tiered primary like here in California is what New Yorkers need. Yesterday.
GO DOUG, GO!