Friday, January 04, 2008

Wyoming Could Be First Win For Romney

Did you know that tomorrow will be a another Republican caucus? Of course not because it is in Wyoming.
And, Wyoming did what so many others did in moving their caucus up in hopes of having some influence on the nominating process.
In a strange way, it may happen.
Of the major Republican candidates running, only former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney has put any face time here. Former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is making a phone calling effort. And congressman Ron Paul of Texas is going to try to pull off an upset.
But, according to Jim Geraghty http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com, Mr. Romney should get the most delegates when the caucusing is all said and done. According to Mr. Geraghty, Fred Thompson, Ron Paul and Duncan Hunter could get one or two delegates each.
But, Mr. Romney will have the lions share and a victory going into Tuesday's New Hampshire primary.
Look for Mr. Romney to play that up. He can also point out that the Rev. Mike Huckabee has not even stepped foot in Wyoming. Neither has Sen. John "F--- You" McCain nor former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani. So much for a 50-state campaign from any of the so-called front runners.
And that is a strength of Mr. Romney.
Unlike any of the so-called front runners, he is the only Republican candidate that will be able to have a 50-state strategy. Unlike the Rev. Mike, Sen. "F--- You" McCain or Mayor Rudy, he will have the funds and ability to compete in marginal Democrat states and keep the 35 red states. What Democrat state does the Rev. Mike think he will take? What Democrat states does Sen. "F--- You" McCain expect to win and keep the red states in his corner? Same for Mayor Rudy.
The only other candidate that had that possibility was former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson. But, he got in way too late and it shows.
Something that Mr. Romney knows that the other candidates do not is that unlike 2000 and 2004 this is a 50-state contest. No where is safe for either side. No George W. Bush on the ballot or lingering. No Al Gore, or John Kerry. It is a fresh, new ballgame. Everything must be taken seriously, even a small state like Wyoming. After all, look at all the attention paid to another small state, Iowa.
Mitt Romney should get victory number one tomorrow in Wyoming. Hopefully, it will lead to number two in New Hampshire on Tuesday.

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