This is my prediction for the upcoming Iowa Caucus for both the Democrat and Republicans.
For the GOP, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney will win. Period. Here will be the second place finisher, former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson. Why? Because when the GOPers go to caucus, they do not want to throw their votes away. And while the majority will go with Mr. Romney, those that will not vote that far, yet, will create the Thompson firewall. I am sorry to say that former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani will finish no higher than forth. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee will be the third place finisher.
For the Dems, Illinois senator Barack Obama will pull off the upset. Sen Hilary Clinton (D-NY) will get no higher than third as former North Carolina senator John Edwards will ride the left-wing populist train to a second place. Why Obama? Why not?! Sen. Obama may make Democrat caucus goers think, Sen. Clinton has huge negatives. She can not beat the top five Republicans head to head, according to a new Zogby poll. Obama has lower negatives, follows the left wing of the party and seems to connect better with the public.
What is great about this prediction is that it is not in stone. It is all about today's events. But, I think that it is going to be this way come January 3, 2008 when the Iowa voters cast the first votes. We shall see and as it gets closer, these predictions can change. I hope they do not.